Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 196.106693 229.513394 268.711750 318.579799 381.022811 457.559418 5.599356e+02
2025-06-22 143.808407 181.897858 231.475972 302.327703 403.727458 548.171571 7.784895e+02
2025-06-29 119.464045 159.087009 214.414359 300.260122 435.927034 653.386269 1.055379e+03
2025-07-06 103.585541 143.444258 202.202552 299.548696 466.544690 763.007149 1.390846e+03
2025-07-13 96.523665 138.717493 204.248891 320.089164 536.214674 964.131507 2.021607e+03
2025-07-20 91.703420 136.295506 208.949305 345.478937 621.942053 1233.773732 3.023049e+03
2025-07-27 84.112002 128.169126 202.577628 349.125495 665.728541 1433.696759 4.038294e+03
2025-08-03 78.653403 122.723824 199.764508 358.625517 724.886820 1702.465249 5.611936e+03
2025-08-10 72.723642 115.661054 192.856423 358.208220 761.066637 1930.746264 7.392111e+03
2025-08-17 68.219381 110.534851 188.734816 362.712221 811.120448 2234.015394 1.014746e+04
2025-08-24 63.673939 104.801503 182.603933 361.449231 845.822276 2512.451904 1.351015e+04
2025-08-31 59.799638 99.886480 177.415284 361.303973 884.054739 2835.975321 1.834370e+04
2025-09-07 57.410822 97.910645 178.737819 379.322226 991.889419 3586.503374 3.187526e+04
2025-09-14 51.917819 89.432841 165.451334 358.342798 968.994291 3731.364540 3.987837e+04
2025-09-21 48.528370 84.741814 159.669187 355.738142 1008.739802 4259.601649 6.119697e+04
2025-09-28 45.650665 80.767979 154.907055 354.851740 1055.374432 4907.684845 9.992778e+04
2025-10-05 44.804491 80.825742 159.197887 380.452995 1219.288086 6650.372301 2.711164e+05
2025-10-12 44.277296 81.474992 164.957533 412.246993 1433.678294 9432.697352 1.165288e+06
2025-10-19 42.256724 78.713836 162.126973 416.826411 1529.096192 11465.952467 4.312090e+06
2025-10-26 40.772783 76.971785 161.568980 428.771777 1672.192400 14697.997356 5.286575e+07
2025-11-02 38.828574 74.025098 157.578228 428.246613 1750.532464 17508.218817 1.106384e+10
2025-11-09 37.313660 71.909118 155.468758 433.917039 1871.735562 21886.108076 NaN
2025-11-16 35.621350 69.242037 151.582325 432.326480 1950.024692 26154.327414 NaN